SYRIA TO BOMB OR NOT TO BOMB
Syria gassed its people again, so do we bomb? Russia told President Obama they would remove all gas, so are they complicit? Obama did nothing except to set a red line, is Obama at fault? What’s at stake if the United States does nothing? Trump tweeted to Putin the missiles are coming, was that a violation of Trumps do not give a warning or?
PRESIDENT OBAMA OWNS SYRIA: President Obama threatened Bashar al-Assad with a RED LINE in 2012 if he used chemical weapons. In the summer of 2012, Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan reported that Assad used chemicals on his people. Obama and the world demanded to be allowed to investigate but were delayed by Assad. Then on August 21, 2013 there was no denying that Assad had used Sarin gas killing 1,400 civilians. Obama’s RED LINE was now crossed and the world watched as the community organizer, organized?
THE SAVIOR: President Obama’s weakness and hesitancy resulted in a leadership vacuum and this vacuum was eagerly filled by Vladimir Putin and Russia. Putin’s action (gave an excuse) caused Obama to do nothing and he could declare victory to the world. More important to Obama is the fact that he broke the Washington play book by doing nothing, victory was his, or so he thought. Obama wanted to look the other way because he did not want anything to jeopardize his deal with Iran.
OH NO – GAS AGAIN: Assad found a loop hole and used Chlorine gas in 2014. Assad started by placing small amounts of Chlorine into barrel bombs and this was not discovered. Assad used Sarin in April 2017 and this resulted in Cruz Missiles being launched by President Trump.
WATCHING THE UNITED STATES: There are many countries watching the United States and specifically President Trump. TURKEY: President Erdogan is watching because he wants to be on the side of the winner. He has sided with Russia and Putin because they seemed to be the new power in the area. If Trump appears weak Erdogan knows that he can destroy the Kurds. IRAN: The Iran nuke deal happened July 2015. Many in America did not like the deal which resulted in Iranian money that had been frozen around the world was now released plus, Iran could now sell its oil on the open market. This, plus money given to Iran resulted in hundreds of billions of dollars given to Iran. The current leadership in America wants that deal annulled or re-negotiated. Ali Khamenei the leader of Iran is watching. CHINA: China’s Xi Jinping is watching and is involved in heated negotiations with the United States regarding trade. China is also the prime mover behind the potential meeting between N. Korea and Trump. Weakness will affect the negotiations on both fronts. NORTH KOREA: Kim Jong-un wants to keep his nukes, missiles and be able to sell that technology around the world. Specifically Un wants to sell that technology to Iran. Un is watching. FRANCE AND ENGLAND: Emmanuel Macron and Theresa May are watching. Both would like to get out from under the clutches of Russia, but lack the power and financial capability to accomplish that alone. Russia has an ever tightening noose of dependence on Russian oil around all of Europe. The United States can offer them oil and gas cheaper than Russia which will help. What they are both looking for is for the United States to lead and demonstrate that the United States is still the only Super power and the bullies of the world must toe the line. Macron and May are watching. RUSSIA: Putin has taken much of the Crimea, bullied the Bulkins, threatened Eastern Europe and because of Obama pushed his way back into the Middle East. Putin has a permanent naval and an air base in Syria. Putin lied when he said he would destroy the Syrian gas and looked the other way when Syria used gas. Putin is guilty and complicit. Putin is watching.
PUTIN LIKES POISON: Russia has used poison for decades. A few weeks ago in England Sergei Skripal and his daughter were poisoned. Some other names of Russian victims are Boris Berezovsky 2013, Scot young 2014 and his business partners Paul Castle, Robbie Curtis and Johnny Elichaoff all died of mysterious suicides. Alexander Litvinenko 2006 died from tea laced with some kind of radioactive substance. Alexander Perepilichny in 2009 from an apparent heart attack but this was later determined to be caused by gelsemium which is a rare plant grown in the Himalayas normally used by the Chinese to poison. Russia is suspected of killing at least 14 people on British soil in the past two decades. It is obvious that Russia will not be opposed to Assad using gas.
WHAT DO I THINK: Diplomacy Information Military and Economics (DIME) are the pillars guiding the process. Our diplomats are working in the public eye and in the back rooms. Information is being put out, some relevant and some to throw off the enemy. Military will be used, some obvious and some not so obvious. Economics will be used to bolster our allies to join us in putting forward the face of the world in opposition to this behavior.
TRUMP TWEETS: When Trump ran for President he stated we should not give a warning or tip our hand. Now Trump tweeted Putin, “Get ready Russia, because they will be coming, nice and new and “smart!”. Like always everyone became critical but I think this was planned and an “M” in DIME. Trump warned Putin so he could get his ships out of the harbor and move other Russian equipment and troops to safe locations.
AMERICA NOT ALONE: I feel there will be a military action and this time instead of just the United States I believe that other countries will join into a coalition, negotiated by the United States. I believe countries like France, England, Israel, Saudi Arabia and the Arab Emirates and perhaps Iraq to name a few will join the alliance to put a world face of condemnation of Russian support and action condoning the actions of Assad. The United States will be able to offer oil and gas to European countries to offset the loss of Russian oil or and increased price of Russian oil.
WHAT WILL BE DESTROYED: The last time we dropped a few missiles on an air base. This time I believe that command and control systems, early warning systems, aircraft and aircraft maintenance facilities may be destroyed. I will not be surprised if one of the Assad homes is hit just like Mum-mar Qaddafi’s home was hit in 1986.
ENEMY GETS A VOTE: Everyone watching the United States will also be watching Russia. Putin has puffed his chest and the world has backed down. I suspect that Putin is expecting that will be the case again this time. A few weeks ago he blustered about a new ICBM that was indestructible & America would not be able to shoot it down. But the video was old and a patch work from the last 10 years. I believe that Russia is a paper Tiger and when the world puts up a strong face to Putin he will have to back down. The Russian economy is weak and fragile and cannot support a real effort to oppose. Putin backing down will leave Assad alone. Iran will have to pull back. China will force N. Korea to the negotiating table.
ROMAN MAXIM: If you desire peace prepare for war.